Does the h index have predictive power?

@article{citeulike:1998138, abstract = {Bibliometric measures of individual scientific achievement are of particular interest if they can be used to predict future achievement. Here we report results of an empirical study of the predictive power of the h index compared with other indicators. Our findings indicate that the h index is better than other indicators considered (total citation count, citations per paper, and total paper count) in predicting future scientific achievement. We discuss reasons for the superiority of the h index. 10.1073/pnas.0707962104}, author = {Hirsch, J. E. }, citeulike-article-id = {1998138}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.0707962104}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, keywords = {h-index}, month = {November}, pages = {0707962104+}, posted-at = {2008-03-18 04:12:13}, priority = {2}, title = {Does the h index have predictive power?}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0707962104}, year = {2007} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:1998138 L3 - citeulike-article-id:1998138 TI - Does the h index have predictive power? JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences SP - 0707962104 N2 - Bibliometric measures of individual scientific achievement are of particular interest if they can be used to predict future achievement. Here we report results of an empirical study of the predictive power of the h index compared with other indicators. Our findings indicate that the h index is better than other indicators considered (total citation count, citations per paper, and total paper count) in predicting future scientific achievement. We discuss reasons for the superiority of the h index. 10.1073/pnas.0707962104 KW - h-index AU - Hirsch, JE PY - 2007/11/26/ UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0707962104 ER -